A few hours ago, Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday gave a tepid indication of possible interest rate cuts ahead. The US Fed interest rate cuts will lower the SOFR rate that US borrowers on.
In Singapore, it will not translate to interest savings for most SGX listed REITs. This is because most of the REITs are on debts tied to the SORA (Singapore) and Japan's. As a matter of fact, SORA (Singapore's rate) has fallen faster than USA's. While USA's SOFR has not decreased by a single decimal throughout the year, Singapore's SORA has fallen by 1.5%.
Only Beneficary
The main beneficary are the US listed REITs because almost all their loans are tied to US SOFR instead of SORA unlike the rest. In time to come, we can expect the decline in US Federal Reserve Rate to benefit them.
KORE is the most sensitive to movement of SOFR because it has 24% of loans pegged to SOFR and the tightest margin spread due to a perceived stronger property portfolio. The magnitude of the fall in SOFR will result in a good percentage in extra cashflow for unitholder. Next in line is PRIME where it has about 34% tied to SOFR floating rates.
Good Time to Own SGX Listed US Based REITs
Declining SOFR means lower interest expense and in turn higher distributable income for unitholders. These are facts and not analysis. So it is definite such unitholders are going to benefit to a greater magnitude than those owning Singapore SG REITs.
To add to that, the USD dollar is at its lowest against the Sing Dollar, it is a good time for Singapore investors to mass swap the Sing Dollar to buy these assets when we have a strong Sing Dollar before it starts to depreciate again.
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