Saturday 21 July 2018

The Curious Case of Sino Grandness

There is one SGX company which has constantly baffled me and that is an S-Chip Sino Grandness.

About Sino Grandness (SFIG)

Basically SFIG is a food and beverage company. Its main product is the selling of a canned beverage product line called "Garden Fresh" which claims to be distributed and consumed by consumers in China and Hong Kong. SFIG is a very "profitable" company churning about 7.5 Singapore cents per share in earnings. This means SFIG is now trading at about 2.8x PE. By all valuation metrics of finance textbooks, SFIG is a value gem because it trades at a P/E of 2.8, Price book of 0.3 times and from its operations it generates a cashflow annually at the rate of its current market capitalization.

It makes it one of the most (if not THE most) undervalued Gem in SGX. Going by my own valuation metrics, the company is worth in the region of 70 cents, an upside of 341% returns from its current price of 20.5 cents.

Its full year results can be read here: Link

The Curious Case of Sino Grandness

There are two aspects which intrigues me: its beverage business (which makes up 70% of its business) and the extension of debt it had with lenders)

Beverage Business

SFIG beverage business has been growing it's profitability and expanding. In FY 2017, its beverage business recorded a revenue of RMB 2,692 million in revenue and and a gross profit of RMB 1,077 million. Translated to Singapore's term, this means a revenue of SGD 541 million and SGD 216 Million In revenue. Its beverage business is helmed by its product lines under the brand of "Garden Fresh"


Figure 1: SFIG Segment Results (FY2017)

It got me thinking about the average price of a Minute Maid Can Drink (a fruit Juice product distributed by the Coca Cola Company in China) that retails about 2 yuan in china. This means Garden Fresh is likely to be selling close to 1 billion units of Garden Fresh product in Guangzhou and the few China Provinces where it claims its business is situated in. Given that Garden Fresh is making so much profits (RMB 1 billion), it should have been well known among its competitors or even among investment funds who will be eager to snap it up to gain exposure into China. 

Debts

The recent debt extension of its RMB 20 million is another interesting fact. The interest rates is going at a rate of 15% per annum. Given that the company has a reported cash & equivalent of RMB 923 million, shouldn't it use its funds to retire the bonds? After all, its beverage business is no longer growing at a rate of 15% annually unlike before. More business sense will it be if it retires the bonds- which takes up only 2% of its cash reserves. That applies too to some of its other bonds 

Conclusion

It will be interesting to see what the eventual valuation of SFIG will be in the future. Will Mr. Market recognise the profitability and cash flow generation ability of its company? It is worth noting that our largest local bank, DBS, should be well aware of the profitability of this company. This is because the bank's China Division is a lender to SFIG as well as being involved in the abandoned IPO of Garden Fresh in Hong Kong. 

It also boils to another question, given that SFIG is made known to #DBS, why is DBS vickers research not covering such an undervalued gem whose price earnings ratio, price book and cash flow generation ability is greatly unappreciated by the Singapore market.

This is something I am still pondering about.

1 comment:

  1. One wonders if it will suddenly de-generate into a Midas...... why incur so much interest costs when borrowings are so cheap everywhere else.....really points to pontificate.

    ReplyDelete