Monday, 27 April 2026

April 2026 Update: Strengthening My Portfolio’s Dividend Power

Over the past week, I have trimmed my position in Nanofilm to take partial profits following its recent share price strength. While I remain constructive on its longer-term prospects, the sharp rebound presented an opportunity to lock in gains and rebalance exposure. As per my previous update, I had sold Alibaba shares amid regulatory uncertainty and a muted consumer recovery in China.

Proceeds from these adjustments have been channelled into NTT DC REIT, primarily for its attractive dividend yield of approximately 7–8%. In the current environment, the ability to generate stable and recurring income is a key priority, and the REIT offers a compelling yield spread relative to other income instruments. This provides a strong foundation for portfolio cash flow while reducing overall volatility.

Beyond yield, NTT DC REIT offers direct exposure to the data centre sector, which is underpinned by powerful structural tailwinds such as cloud adoption, artificial intelligence workloads, and ongoing digitalisation. The quality of its assets, coupled with long-term leases signed with large software companies, supports visibility and resilience of its DPU.

As the year progresses, the portfolio is steadily evolving into a more robust income generator. Dividend contributions are increasing meaningfully, and the $60,000 annual dividend target now appears well within reach.

Dividend

There is no change in the total dividend income received.

Current Portfolio Value is $1,220,400

Dividend

USD:$13,060

HKD:$9,068.61

SGD:$6,507.80


Monday, 20 April 2026

I Took a Loss After 4.5 Years Investing in Alibaba

Today, I sold a partial stake of 1,800 Alibaba HK shares. It marks the end of a position I held for approximately four and a half years — and not in the way I had originally envisioned.

At an average cost of around HKD 142, it’s ironic that after such a long holding period, I still have a realised -1% loss.

What Made Me Decide to Sell

First, Alibaba’s earnings trajectory has largely gone sideways.

Revenue growth has slowed significantly from its earlier high-growth phase, transitioning from rapid expansion into a more mature, slower-growing profile. At the same time, earnings growth has not matched the revenue growth. Despite this, the stock continues to trade at around ~20x price-to-earnings, which is not particularly compelling given the lack of strong growth momentum.

Second, the opprotunity cost of holding Alibaba has been substantial. In Singapore, listed REITs have consistently delivered 5%–7% yields annually, with additional upside from capital appreciation over the past few years. Alibaba has not made much progress. On top of that, capital allocation has been conservative. Buybacks have slowed as the company prioritises AI investments inquiries with Alibaba IR the idea of leveraging low-cost debt to fund more aggressive buybacks while using capital for CAPEX has returned with no interest by the management. It is a signal that Alibaba Management does not feel its shares are too udervalued at current prices. 

Hence, I will be deploying capital to purchase REITs

Sunday, 12 April 2026

April 2026 Portfolio Update: Dividend Growing

Since the last update, I have made 03 additional stock acquisitions:

  1. Lendlease Global Commercial REIT
    The share price fell below its issue price, presenting an attractive entry point. I accumulated shares at an average price of 0.55, which translates to an approximate dividend yield of 6.4%. This represents a reasonable yield for a REIT of its profile.
  2. NTT DC REIT
    I increased my holdings when the share price declined to 0.925. At this level, the stock offers an estimated yield of around 8%, which I consider a strong value proposition.
  3. Yangzijiang Financial

I look forward to achieving higher dividend contributions going forward. From a dividend investment perspective, generating annual returns of 6–8% in Singapore is relatively attainable. By looking beyond the large-cap REITs and selectively investing in mid-cap names such as Lendlease Global Commercial REIT and NTT DC REIT, these levels of yield can be achieved.

In my view, such returns compare favourably against many other asset classes in Singapore, while remaining accessible to the average retail investor.

Dividend

There is no change in the total dividend income received.

Current Portfolio Value is $1,163,500

Dividend

USD:$13,060

HKD:$9,068.61

SGD:$6,507.80


Sunday, 29 March 2026

If the USA Loses The Iran War, Everything Changes

The headlines today are dominated by the conflict between the United States and Iran, with the critical Strait of Hormuz at risk of closure.

At first glance, this may seem like a distant geopolitical issue. It is not.

What is at stake goes far beyond oil supply. If the U.S. fails to achieve a decisive outcome, it could trigger a structural shift in the global financial system—with consequences reaching even Singapore.

US Loss- Decline of Petrodollar and the USD share in global reserves

Today, most global oil trade is denominated in U.S. dollars—the foundation of the “petrodollar” system.
  • Gulf states rely heavily on USD for trade
  • Transactions are largely routed through the SWIFT system

However, a perceived U.S. weakening could change incentives.

Countries may:

  • Shift oil contracts into the Chinese yuan (RMB)
  • Adopt China’s alternative payment system, Cross-Border Interbank Payment System
(Ironically CIPS is faster and cheaper than the West's SWIFT system, just that countries do not want to use it because it is China).

If more countries adopt RMB-based trade: Demand for USD falls, then its share in global reserves declines. Finally the US dollar faces sustained depreciation

This is not unprecedented.

The British Pound Sterling, once the world’s reserve currency, has lost roughly 65% of its value against a basket of currencies over time as it lost its status as the reserve currency.

How it Affects Singapore

Singapore is not insulated from this.

Singapore holds substantial USD-denominated assets, while most liabilities are in Singapore dollars (SGD)

This creates an asset-liability mismatch

If USD depreciates against SGD, the value of our national assets decline, while our liabilities remain unchanged. This erodes balance sheet strength.

As Singapore's government can issue SGD, default risk is low to none. But the trade-off is the potential increase in money supply. More money chasing the same amount of good results in persistent inflation in our country.

The U.S.–Iran conflict is not merely a geopolitical flashpoint—it is a potential inflection point in the global monetary order. Even a gradual shift away from U.S. dollar dominance could reshape trade flows, reprice financial assets, and transmit inflationary pressures across economies tied to the dollar system. For countries like Singapore, which hold substantial USD-denominated assets, the effects may not be immediate but could prove deeply consequential over time. What appears distant today may ultimately surface in more tangible ways—through higher costs of living for Singaporeans.

Saturday, 21 March 2026

Mar 2026 Portfolio Update- $20,000 dividend inflow

Sold off a few shares in both Lendlease REIT and Yanlord. Bought Riverstone

The reporting of year end financial results meant dividend in a few of my holdings have been declared. For this month alone, I would receive US$13,000 and SGD$6,000 in dividend. 

United Hamsphire continue to be the stand out play with high earnings and a high but yet sustainable dividend. The only issue is the low trading liquidity which results in no institutional interest. While the UOB REIT manager has said it is resolving, little results has been seen. Unitholders may have to voice this concern in the upcoming AGM; every month the REIT fails to meet the benchmark to enter Singapore's REIT index, depsite it being the best few performing REIT.

Current Portfolio Value is $1,085,500

Dividend

USD:$13,060

HKD:$9,068.61

SGD:$6,507.80



Saturday, 28 February 2026

2 Singapore Non-REIT Stocks Giving More than 5% Dividend Yield With Upside

Most investors look to the Straits Times Index (STI), but the mid cap space is now worth paying attention with the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) executing the Equity Market Development Programme (EQDP) with about 30% of the government funds set to flow into Singapore-listed mid-cap stocks.

A large portion of these funds has already been allocated to fund managers and will be deployed in 2026. That means mid-caps could see stronger institutional interest.

I’ve filtered three Singapore mid-cap companies with the criterion of:

  • Strong trading liquidity and volume to ensure investors are able to buy and cash out quickly

  • Sustainable dividend

  • Yields above 5%

These companies combine attractive dividend yields with the prospect of increased institutional interest as EQDP capital potentially flows into the mid-cap segment. Given their solid fundamentals and compelling yields, they may deliver competitive — if not superior — total returns relative to MAS-appointed EQDP fund managers.

Riverstone Holdings

Riverstone Holdings Ltd is strongly positioned in the high-margin cleanroom glove segment serving semiconductor, electronics and high-tech industries. It holds the largest global market share in cleanroom gloves.

Unlike commoditised healthcare gloves, cleanroom gloves require:

  • Stricter particle contamination control

  • Electrostatic discharge (ESD) management

  • Consistent high-precision manufacturing standards

These requirements create higher technical and qualification barriers, making the segment structurally more defensible.

Riverstone has built long-standing relationships with global semiconductor customers. Its reputation for reliability supports repeat orders and pricing resilience. Importantly, the cleanroom segment typically generates structurally higher margins than healthcare gloves, giving Riverstone a competitive moat compared to pure healthcare-focused peers.

For FY2025, the company declared a total dividend of 5.5 Singapore cents per share. At a share price of S$0.77, this represents a dividend yield of approximately 7%.

As the company’s production costs and financial results are primarily denominated in Malaysian ringgit, continued appreciation of the ringgit against the Singapore dollar could translate into stronger reported earnings and dividends in SGD terms, potentially enhancing total returns for Singapore-based investors.

Based on my assessment, a fair value of 95 Singapore cents is reasonable, implying a potential capital upside of around 20%. Combined with its dividend yield, Riverstone is an attractive company for investors seeking income and moderate capital appreciation.

ComfortDelgro Corporation Limited (CDG)

ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited is a leading multi-modal land transport operator with a dominant presence in Singapore and an established international footprint.

Its key subsidiaries include:

  • SBS Transit Ltd – operating public buses and rail lines

  • Vicom Ltd – a major vehicle inspection and testing provider

In addition, CDG operates one of Singapore’s largest taxi and private-hire fleets and maintains joint ventures and contracted operations across several overseas markets. Collectively, CDG functions as a diversified transport conglomerate with exposure across multiple transport modes and geographies.

Public transport is an essential service. Commuters rely on buses, trains and taxis for daily travel to work, school and other necessities, making demand relatively resilient even during economic slowdowns.

In Singapore, the regulated contract model enhances revenue visibility. Operators are typically paid based on service kilometres rather than purely on farebox collections, which supports stable and predictable cash flows.

Both SBS Transit and Vicom are benefitting from structural transport policies, including:

  • OBU (On-Board Unit) installation requirements

  • Periodic public transport fare adjustments

For FY2025, CDG declared a total dividend of 8.5 Singapore cents per share; at a share price of s$1.55, translating to a yield of 5.4%.

Based on my assessment, a fair value of S$1.90 is reasonable, as I believe the market is undervaluing an essential service operator with resilient cash flows with too high of a yield (currently above 5% yield); a low 4% yield is where it should be at. This implies a potential upside of about 20% in capital appreciation, excluding dividends, CDG is an attractive company for investors seeking income and moderate capital appreciation.

Friday, 27 February 2026

Asian Pay TV Trust, Reduced Dividend, Reduced Target Price

Asian Pay TV Trust (APTT) has released its full year financial results. Below is a summary

Full Year (2025):
  • Total Revenue: S$245.7 M (down 2.5% vs 2024)
  • EBITDA: S$135.5 M (down 8.7%)
  • Broadband revenue growth: +9.4%
  • Cable TV revenue: Down 7.5% for the year
From 2026, dividend will be reduced from 1.05 cents to 0.8 cents, a 25% reduction. The reduction in DPU was attributed to a sharper-than-expected EBITDA decline in 2025. The Board reduced distributions to prudently manage cash flow and align with onshore loan repayment obligations. The cut was not intended to accelerate debt repayment, but rather to match scheduled loan servicing requirements.

Management expects EBITDA to continue declining and is monitoring the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to avoid breaching loan covenants. While there remains sufficient headroom currently, they are mindful that debt levels must be reduced in tandem with declining EBITDA.

Dividend from Broadband business is expected to have a slight decrease due to dilution of the enlarged share capital arising from Dada capital injection into the Broadband Industry

APTT Target Price

A dividend of 0.8 SG cents is the new norm. I still maintain the view that demanding a 8% yield for the trust is fair. Hence target price is lowered to 10 SG cents.

Investors should be wary that APTT may turn to equity raising to retire debt to manage the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio in their loan covenants. 

Tuesday, 10 February 2026

Feb 2026 Portfolio Update: Purchase of More Yangzijiang Financial

Following the recent sell-down in Yangzijiang Financial Holdings (YZJFH), I decided to rotate a significant portion of my portfolio into the company. To fund this move, I fully exited my position in StarHub and partial stake in PRIME US REIT. I have accumulated a total stake of 240,000 shares in YZJFH.

Post-restructuring, YZJFH has emerged as a focused debt investment platform with a strong balance sheet, holding only $300,000 of debt against a $1.8 billion loan portfolio. Its loan portfolio currently carries a book value of approximately 54 cents per share, supported by a credit loss allowance of 5.2 cents per share.

Taken together, this implies that if the loan portfolio were to be fully redeemed without drawing down on the credit allowance, the underlying value of the company would amount to roughly 59.2 cents per share. Even allowing for some utilization of the credit allowance, the current market price appears to reflect a substantial discount to underlying asset value.

At a share price of around 33 cents, YZJFH is trading at a significant discount to its adjusted book value. In my view, this valuation presents a compelling risk-reward profile.

Next, a small amount was used to buy Goodwill Entertainment.

Current Portfolio Value is $1,244,000. I am still on track to clock $60k dividend this year

Dividend

USD:$0

HKD:$9,068.61

SGD:$0



Sunday, 8 February 2026

The End of Malaysia Ringgit Weakness: Why 5% Annual Appreciation Is the New Reality

In 2025, something previously considered unthinkable happened: the Malaysian ringgit appreciated by roughly 5% against the Singapore dollar in a single year.

This move was not random. It was driven by a stronger Malaysian economy and a clear increase in foreign direct investment and capital inflows into the country.

In my view, this is not a one-off event. A continued annual appreciation of around 5% is likely to persist for the next few years. As a result, Malaysians holding Singapore assets may continue to experience an erosion of their wealth in ringgit terms, even if Singapore property prices continue to rise.

That outcome may feel uncomfortable, but it is simply the consequence of holding assets denominated in a currency that is no longer structurally strengthening against the ringgit.

Why the 5% Continued Appreciation Will Continue

The 2025 appreciation of the ringgit against the Singapore dollar was widely dismissed as a temporary anomaly. In reality, it marks the start of a multi-year normalization cycle, not a short-term deviation. As of Feb 2026, the Ringgit has already appreciated 1.3% against the Sing Dollar in just under 2 months.

Several structural forces support the case for continued appreciation.

1. Malaysia Has Entered a Sustained Capital Inflow Phase

Malaysia is no longer merely benefiting from a cyclical recovery. It is entering a structural capital inflow phase driven by:

  • Manufacturing reshoring and “China+1” supply-chain strategies

  • Significant investments in semiconductors, data centers, and energy

  • Large-scale infrastructure spending and industrial ecosystem development

Foreign direct investment is sticky capital. Unlike short-term portfolio flows, FDI does not exit quickly based on sentiment or market volatility. As long as Malaysia continues absorbing real, productive investment, structural demand for the ringgit will rise year after year, placing sustained upward pressure on the currency.

This trend is already visible. Even Singapore-based companies, such as AEM, have begun locating manufacturing operations to Malaysia — a clear signal of shifting regional cost and competitiveness dynamics. In the semiconductor logistics supply chain, Malaysia is starting to set up wafer capabilities, this is an add on when the country is already the largest producer of clean room gloves which are used in the semiconductor assembly and testing stages

This is not a one-year story but a multi-year balance-of-payments adjustment.

2. The Productivity and Income Gap Is Narrowing

For decades, the relative strength of the Singapore dollar reflected a widening productivity and income gap between Singapore and Malaysia. That gap is now narrowing rather than widening.

  • Malaysian wages are rising faster than Singapore’s, supporting stronger domestic consumption

  • Higher-value manufacturing and services are expanding within Malaysia

  • Talent retention and skilled labor participation are improving

Currencies ultimately reflect relative productivity trends, not historical reputation. As Malaysia’s economic fundamentals converge toward those of higher-income peers, the exchange rate must adjust accordingly.

3. Property and Capital Inflows Signal Confidence, Not Speculation

Kuala Lumpur — particularly areas such as KLCC — is experiencing a strong property upswing, with substantial foreign capital inflows.

This is not purely speculative activity. It reflects:

  • Improved investor confidence

  • Greater institutional participation

  • A reassessment of Malaysia’s long-term economic trajectory

These inflows reinforce demand for the ringgit and strengthen the currency’s medium-term outlook.

4. Improved Governance and Investor Sentiment

Underlying these trends is renewed confidence in Malaysia’s current government, driven by clearer policy direction, better governance signals, and a more credible reform narrative.

Investor confidence matters. When capital believes in policy continuity and economic management, currency appreciation tends to be persistent rather than temporary

The Bottom Line

The appreciation of the ringgit is likely to continue over the next two years, driven by sustained capital inflows, improving economic fundamentals, and rising investor confidence. On this trajectory, one Singapore dollar could trade near 2.85 ringgit within the end of next year.

If the upcoming Malaysian general election results in the current incumbent government remaining in power, policy continuity and reform momentum would further reinforce confidence in the Malaysian economy. Under such conditions, the uncomfortable truth for many investors is that the ringgit is likely to continue appreciating at approximately 5% per annum with possibility of 2.2 Ringgit mark in 2034. This will mark a clear change of the Malaysia Ringgit being known as a weak currency

Friday, 30 January 2026

AXS Coins New Promotion: How to Get Up to 3% Back on Bills

AXS has launched a new rewards program where you can earn AXS Coins for bill payments — but only if payments are made via the AXS m-Station mobile app and you have logged in with your facebook, google or other social accounts

Important

  • Works only on the AXS m-Station app

  • App is available on Google Play Store and Apple App Store


Key Rules to Know (will be updated as and when AXS terms change)

  • Minimum payment: S$5 (or S$10 for some categories)

  • Maximum rewards: 10 AXS Coins per billing organisation per bill account per month

  • Rewards apply to payments made via the mobile app only

  • If you have different credit card accounts with the same bank, you can pay it on different day to earn coins. For example you can pay UOB Lady's card on the 1st day, and then UOB preferred platinum on the 3rd day of the month and you will earn 10 coins each


First-Time User Bonus 🎉

If you’re making your first payment via the AXS m-Station app:

  • Enter referral code 5WPJDNHE

  • Earn 50 AXS Coins (≈ S$0.90) after your first bill payment


How to Maximise the System 💡

Step 1: Earn 10 AXS Coins Monthly
Make a S$5 payment monthly to:

  • Your credit card company (for cards you actively use), or

  • IRAS (On AXS homepage, Select "Pay Bills"--> Select General--> Then IRAS--> Then Individual Income Tax, Retrieve by Income "Tax reference no" is your NRIC/UIN number, including the alphabets)

Next key in the amount to pay.
If you’re making your first payment via the AXS m-Station app:
  • Enter referral code 5WPJDNHE to earn 50 AXS Coins (≈ S$0.90)

This earns you the maximum 10 AXS Coins per day to each of this billing organisation.


Step 2: Redeem Coins for a Mystery Box

  • Redeem 10 AXS Coins for a mystery box

  • Possible outcomes vary (as per screenshot below)

  • So far, each redemption I have done has yielded a S$0.18 AXS voucher


Step 3: Use the Voucher to Offset Your Next Payment

  • Apply the S$0.18 voucher to your next S$5 bill payment

  • You’ll still earn another 10 AXS Coins, as long as:

    • The nett payment amount is at least S$5


⚠️ Example:

  • If you receive an S$88 AXS voucher, ensure your bill is at least S$88

  • Otherwise, you may not qualify for the 10-coin reward


Effective Rebate

  • For a S$5 bill with a S$0.18 voucher, that’s roughly a 3.6% rebate

  • -

<Write up was done with aid of a free AI tool, credit to it with much appreciation>

Jan 2026 Portfolio Update: First Dividend of the Year

During the month, I took profits on Lendlease REIT after its share price appreciated significantly, reducing my position to 40,000 shares. The capital was reallocated into Yangzijiang Financial Holding.

However, post-demerger, the combined valuation of the two Yangzijiang entities has fallen below pre-split levels. This appears to be driven by structural weakness in China’s real estate sector and a softening shipping market, underscoring the broader economic strain on China amid ongoing tariff pressures from the Trump administration.

A few mid cap and Alibaba have seen a rise in share price; therefore, current Portfolio Value is $1,242,000. I am still on track to clock a $60k dividend inflow this year

Dividend

USD:$0

HKD:$9,068.61

SGD:$0


Friday, 2 January 2026

Investors Should Invest Like Minority Shareholders, Not as Owner of a Company

While the title may sound contradictory, it reflects a deeper reality. Reading and researching about the Singapore REIT sector and how, over the years, retail investors have suffered substantial losses, it dawned onto me the reality of investing in Singapore.

The Lippo Playbook- Enriching Themselves not Singapore Investors

The Lippo Group owns stakes in several SGX-listed REITs, many of which now trade well below their IPO prices. The recurring pattern is familiar:

Properties are sold by the parent company into a Singapore-listed REIT at high valuations, often supported by temporary income support guarantees. These guarantees help justify the valuation during the IPO or acquisition phase. However, once the income support expires, the underlying performance of the assets frequently fails to meet expectations.

The REIT is then left servicing high levels of debt incurred to fund these acquisitions—without the corresponding cash flow to support them. Over time, this results in declining book value, falling unit prices, and permanent capital loss for unitholders.

A prominent example is Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, which has lost approximately 98% of its share value since IPO. While retail investors bore the losses, the Lippo Group profited handsomely through property divestments and years of management fees.

Where Is the Skin in the Game?

This raises a broader issue: the lack of meaningful alignment between REIT sponsors, managers, and retail investors.

In my view, the Monetary Authority of Singapore has failed to adequately address this structural flaw. The lesson learned by many REIT managers appears to be that they can take excessive risks, while losses are ultimately and majority absorbed by unitholders.

Take Manulife US REIT as an example. Manulife originally owned 100% of the assets but spun it off into the REIT and reduced its stake to below 10% at IPO to meet regulatory requirements. Meanwhile, Manulife continued to earn management fees while operating on a leverage of 10:1with other people’s money. So it only had less than 10% of its original capital at risk. Too much risk was then taken by the REIT manager post IPO through its acquisitions, while employing this strategy of shifting ownership from 100% to 10:1 leverage on "other people money" 

The Lippo Group has followed a similar strategy: repeatedly diluting investors while selling assets from the parent company to the listed REIT at valuations with little margin of safety. Comparable behavior has also been observed among Singapore blue-chip sponsors, including Keppel.

The Captive Buyer Problem

In Singapore, a listed REIT effectively becomes a captive buyer for its sponsor.

A parent company can sell a building it previously owned outright to a child REIT in which it holds only a 10–30% stake. Yet it retains control through the REIT manager, continues to earn management fees, and benefits from leverage funded primarily by retail investors.

This asset-light model is immensely attractive to sponsors: profits are privatized, risks are socialized. When things go well, sponsors earn fees and crystallize gains; when things go poorly, it is the unitholders who suffer most of the losses.

Why Low Price-to-Book REITs Stay Cheap

When a REIT trades significantly below book value, two explanations typically apply:

(1) The valuations are wrong.
In several cases, properties are eventually sold at prices far below their stated appraised values at each financial year end. Prior to the sale, the REIT conveniently revises its valuation downward to justify the transaction—despite both valuations being conducted only months apart.

(2) The valuations are right, but managers refuse to act.
In theory, a REIT trading at 0.5–0.6x book value could unlock enormous value by selling assets and using the proceeds for unit buybacks. This would reduce leverage, strengthen the balance sheet, and potentially deliver significant gains to remaining unitholders.

In practice, this almost never happens.

Why? Because selling properties reduces the asset base—and with it, the management fees earned by the REIT manager. While such actions would benefit unitholders, they conflict directly with the economic incentives of the manager, who is often also the largest shareholder or sponsor.

As unitholders, we may focus on mathematical value accretion. But we must remember this fundamental truth: REIT managers (who tend to be related to the Sponsor) are paid to manage assets, not to maximize unit prices. Such example could be seen in how the parent ESR was managing Sabana REIT.

Minority Shareholder Problem Not Just Happening in the REIT Sector

The challenges discussed in this article are not confined to the REIT sector. More broadly, they reflect a structural issue faced by minority investors in Singapore-listed companies.

In many family-controlled firms, controlling shareholders retain decisive influence over capital allocation and executive appointments. It is not uncommon for related parties to be installed in senior management roles with generous compensation, while dividends to minority shareholders remain limited or inconsistent.

Although there have been instances of shareholder pushback at annual general meetings—such as at Stamford Land and Hong Fok—these efforts rarely lead to meaningful change. Minority shareholders, by definition, lack the voting power to alter outcomes when control remains firmly in the hands of founding families.

The existing governance framework in Singapore offers limited practical protection for minority investors in such situations. While disclosure requirements are robust, economic outcomes continue to favor controlling shareholders, often at the expense of long-term minority returns.

This imbalance has broader implications. Weak minority investor confidence contributes to low market participation, persistent valuation discounts, and a lack of depth in Singapore’s equity market—an issue policymakers are now seeking to address. Without stronger alignment between control and capital, reforms aimed solely at boosting listings or liquidity are unlikely to succeed.

Sunday, 28 December 2025

Manulife US REIT Pivot: Need to Guard Against Unfair Value Transfer by the Sponsor (Manulife)

Following the EGM approval for Manulife US REIT (MUST) to pivot into other property segments such as retail, co-living, and industrial assets, the REIT has indicated that its sponsor, Manulife, holds a pipeline of assets in the US and Canada for potential acquisition. And this pipeline of assets referring to third-party properties that are through the Sponsor’s deal platform are accessible to MUST to acquire, and the Acquisition Mandate does not cover the acquisition of assets from interested parties related to MUST, including the Sponsor. 

As MUST increasingly relies on sponsor-sourced transactions, minority unitholders must be vigilant against value transfer arising from acquisitions priced at materially weaker economics than those observable in comparable US market transactions.

The Litmus Test

In the waiver obtained from the Monetary Authority of Singapore MAS, in the event MUST's leverage is above 50%, it can only buy a property (i) funded with a capital structure of no more than 40% debt and (ii) ICR of at least 1.6 times.

This is a low bar to cross. First, an ICR threshold of 1.6x primarily ensures debt serviceability, but offers limited margin of safety against interest rate volatility, leasing risk, or NPI normalization, particularly when acquiring assets from a related sponsor. Second, US properties in a particular segment can be bought at a higher margin of safety. 

Therefore, the question is how fair will the sponsor, Manulife, be.

United Hampshire US REIT- The Fair Guage

MUST is allowed to buy retail US assets such as Strip Malls. And interestingly, there is one US REIT listed in SGX that is in this business. So, let's see how a few properties in this REIT stacks up assuming a 6% weighted average interest cost and a 40% debt funding (ironically United Hampshire is also geared close to 40%)

Property Name/ Valuation/ NPI/ ICR (assuming 40% debt at 6% interest weightage)

  • St Lucie West /$101 million/$5.877 million/2.4x ICR
  • Dover Marketplace /$17.2 million/$1.187million/2.87x ICR
  • Albany (Divested)/$23.8million/$1.581million/2.76x ICR
  • Hudson Valley Plaza (Divested)/$36.5million/$2.481million/2.83x ICR

Across multiple grocery-anchored strip mall assets, observable market transactions support stabilized ICRs between 2.4x and 2.8x under conservative funding assumptions of 40% leverage and 6% interest cost. This suggests that acquisitions clearing only the MAS minimum of 1.6x ICR would fall materially below prevailing market economics.

If the sponsor-sourced transaction is selling at too high a price, MUST management should just approach United Hampshire US REIT to buy its supermarket/mall assets at 2x to 2.4 x ICR. Given the availability of listed market benchmarks, it would be reasonable for MUST’s board to adopt an internal acquisition hurdle of at least 2.4x ICR for sponsor-sourced asset

The second layer of safeguard should be the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). While MAS’s waiver sets minimum prudent limits, the burden of ensuring valuation fairness rests primarily with MUST’s board, independent valuers, and unitholders. MAS’s role should be to ensure that sponsor transactions are accompanied by enhanced disclosures and robust independent review to ensure the property purchases from the sponsor platform is fair.

Wednesday, 24 December 2025

UnUsUaL Holdings: High Risk, Poor Earning Visibility. All Talk Little Action

Overview

UnUsUaL is a Singapore-based listed company focused on live event production, concert promotion, and entertainment services. Its segments include:

  • Production — stage sound system, lighting, technical services

  • Promotion — ticketing, sponsorships, performance rights

Why It’s “Unusual”

This is not a typical industrial or financial company; it organizes live entertainment events and try to sell the tickets for a profit.

For me, why I had started looking into Unusual is that while it is a profitable entity, its share price has faced selling pressure because its major shareholder, MM2 Asia, is in financial difficulty and financial institution are selling its owned "Unusual" shares to repay the debt.

The question I'm trying to answer is if Unusual share price justifiable at 3.8 sg cents (market cap 39 million). 

Short answer is "No", and I think Unusual is only a worthwhile investment at SG$12 million or 1.1 Sg cents

Valuation and Competitor

81% of Unusual Revenue are in the "Promotion Segment" of live entertainment and concert events such as organizing Jay Chou and Air Supply concerts. Its main competitor in Singapore is "Live Nation" who has done bigger concerts related to K pop fans. 

Unusual positions itself to appeal to a specific concert goer group such as Mandopop and Japanese Bands and old-time English bands. A unique segment on its own, Unusual has been struggling to churn enough concerts and is barely profitable. Overall, the company earns $670,000 in the first half of its financial year.

Prior years, it has been making losses over failed live promotion events. In short, ROE and ROA have been negative which shows the high level of risk in investing in its shares.

Hence, my view is the company will churn out $1.2-$1.5 million annual profits and a SG$12 million market cap is where it is cheap enough for the execution risk.

Unusual has Little Upcoming Live-Concerts

A simple check on its website shows it only has 02 upcoming events in 02 months

That's worrying. In fact, if you look at its pace of organizing concerts, it has only been able to do an average of 1 event monthly. The number of concerts it organizes has been decreasing since 2022.

Investors who are buying Unusual shares now at 3.8 SG cents are likely going to face further losses.

Saturday, 13 December 2025

This REIT Paid 9.1% Dividend and Still Went Higher, Beating Singapore Condo Prices and Rental

One year ago, in December 2024, United Hampshire US REIT was trading at 45.5 US cents. At the time, Business Times wrote an article where the reporter too felt owning instruments such as Singapore listed REITs was better than owning a private property for investment " Why lock up millions in a Singapore condo for low single-digit returns when a boring, necessity-based REIT was paying you real cash? 

For simplicity, I offered a comparison against a REIT which I had a strong conviction in.

United Hampshire US REIT rents retail spaces across United States mainly to Grocery supermarkets, banks as their branch store front, F&B outlets. In a nutshell, the REIT is positioned as a stripe mall, the heartland mall style similar to Singapore's Fraser Centrepoint Trust.

A year later, the numbers have largely answered this question.

Capital Gains

United Hampshire US REIT closed at 50.5 US cents. That is an 11% capital gain. Now contrast this with Singapore private residential property, using official Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) data

According to URA’s Private Residential Property Price Index, non-residential private home prices rose 5.7% on a Q3-to-Q3 comparison basis (Q3 2024 to Q3 2025). This URA index measures pure price movement only, excluding agent commission of 2% and property income taxes. 

Factoring a 50% leverage for a private property purchase and an interest expense cost of 2.6%, the private home leveraged return is 10.1% capital gain.

United Hampshire US REIT Wins

Dividend vs Rental Returns

United Hampshire US REIT paid 4.14 US cents, this gives 9.1% yield. Tax free, incurring no IRAS taxes

Private Home only gave 4% yield, and you have an incoming IRAS tax bill 

United Hampshire US REIT Wins

Capital Structure of the REIT

The REIT is in the stable US basic consumer segment and have signed long lease periods with its supermarket tenants

Its leverage ratio is 40%, much lower than many Singapore REITs and has no refinancing risk until 2029.

A year on, the lesson is clear: high-yielding, well-managed REITs can outperform traditional residential property on a total-return basis, especially when measured against official URA data. While property remains a stable, long-term store of wealth, this comparison reinforces a simple truth: in today’s environment, income-producing REITs can be the smarter to grow your wealth. Hopefully this lesson will ring true end 2029

Sunday, 7 December 2025

United Hampshire REIT 3Q Update- Loan Refinancing and Higher Distributable Income with 33% upside

 UtdHampshire US REIT posted two updates in recent months. Below are a key summary:

  • Refinanced A New Loan Facility which ensures no refinancing risk until 2029
  • Distributable income for 3Q2025 was 15.5% higher than last year's 
  • Acquisition of Dover Marketplace in Aug 2025 and 5,000 sq ft in Florida Blue Expansion will increase distributable income
DPU Set to Rise

In 1H2025, DPU was at 2.09 US cents. Factoring in the acquisition in August 2025, distributable income was US$7 million (1.17 US cents). If we put it on a half year basis, it is likely Utd Hampshire US REIT DPU will have 2.35 US cents.

The second positive is SOFR rate is now reducing for its tied to the US Fed interest rates which is reducing. This means the REIT will be reporting higher earnings and higher cashflow. However, my view the REIT manager will likely reduce its payout ratio from 96% down to 90%. Hence, DPU will remain at 2.35 US cents on a half yearly basis for a few financial 6-month period. This equates to 4.7 US cents in annual dividend

I personally expect Utd Hampshire US REIT to maintain dividend at this number even with declining US interest rates. On a 51 US cents share price, and annual dividend of 4.7 US cents, the share price is a 9.2% dividend yielder

This is rather generous, and it will not be unreasonable to expect a yield compression to 7% after market realizes the resilience of its dividend mainly because of its contractual 3+3+3 leases and tenants who are grocers and banks. Target price is 68 US cents

Refinancing Risk Deferred Until 2029

The REIT has secured a new loan facility which covers the refinancing of the future Upland Mortgage. The new loan deal is tied to SOFR rate again (current SOFR =3.92%). Based on the effective interest rate Utd Hampshire US REIT pays, previously Utd Hampshire US REIT's loan facility was on a SOFR + 1.5% margin. New loan deal should be the same. 

With a long way to go before the next refinancing, investors can be rest assured the REIT can continuously give out dividend and at 39% leverage ratio, this REIT is geared in a comfortable range. The REIT manager has an easy job. At such gearing, I feel no further acquisition should be done.

Portraying the REIT as a conservatively geared entity with 9% dividend yield should be the message it is drumming to the investing community. At 51 US cents, it is a good purchase with a much higher upside.

Friday, 5 December 2025

Finalized the Portfolio With Many Singapore Mid-Small Caps

Following on the idea to "revitalize the Singapore stock" market, I have finalized my portfolio with the purchase of more mid cap stocks in my portfolio.

Unlike active fund, it will be passive without much movement from now. Interestingly, one will observe I have totally sold off Olam and new additions are Frencken, YZJ Financial and Yanlord.

Why I have returned to YZJ Financial is so that I have some exposure to the financial sector + aligning myself in instance YZJFH is able to redeem its China debt investments successfully. For Frencken, I am vested for the financial effects it will reap when it completes the building of its larger production capacity factory in 2027.

It's a Dividend Portfolio

Based on forward dividend estimates, many Singapore stocks in the portfolio provide high dividend, with estimated yield of 4.5% on this portfolio. This is due to Alibaba (which can be bought via SDR) being a large component with little dividend. It is estimated United Hampshire and Asian Pay TV will provide about the same amount of dividend as 2025.

For PRIME US REIT, an increase in dividend will start from 2027 when new rentals start their rent collection phase.

As this continues, the expectation is that a $70,000 dividend level will be achieved in 2027

Current Portfolio Value is $1,215,000

From 2026, I will be recording the dividend received from the below portfolio composition.


Thursday, 13 November 2025

Asian Pay TV Trust 3Q Results- Stable 10% Dividend Yield and Paring Down Debts

Asian Pay TV Trust (APTT) has released their 3Q results, the first full results after their refinancing of debt. Of which significant new information can be found. The summary of the results is as follows:

  • Overall Revenue Still in Decline as no of TV subscribers in Traditional TV continues to fall
  • 90% of Onshore Debt has been hedged at 1.54% Taiwan TAIBOR, indicating overall debt interest rate to 3.6-3.7%
  • Management guided the additional interest cost of S$2 million to S$3 million for this year with interest expense to decline by $2 million next year
  • 2025 Dividend Still Set for 1.05 SG cents
Cashflow and Dividend

Declining EBITDA margins leads to downstream less cash generated. Over the next 7 years, it is likely APTT will generate $100-$120 million annually.

With annual CAPEX needs of $28 million, taxation of $10 million, interest expense of $40 million (and declining), there is sufficient headroom to maintain the 1.05 SG cents dividend which requires $19 million over the next 7 years.

Another Important thing is paying down the Debt.


Over the past 5 years, APTT has started to shrink its debt. However, one would notice "Net debt to EBITDA" ratio has increased. Thish indicates APTT EBITDA (Cashflow) is shrinking faster than it is shrinking its debt.

This is a ratio to keep watch; a ratio that is 10 or above indicates the cashflow has fallen too fast relative to the shrinking of debt. APTT's Taiwanese bankers would be worried. That said, APTT's current 8.1 ratio is still good and it has an interest coverage ratio of 3.8 times. 

For REITs, ICR of below 2 times is where it is dangerous; however, APTT is at 3.8 times which shows it is relatively safe.

As an investor, I am looking at how fast APTT pays down before the next tranche of refinancing in 2032. If APTT is able to reduce the debt from 1,163 million to 800 million by 2032; I believe dividend will maintain.

Baseline Expectations and Target Price

Much of APTT's future hinges on how well the Trust Manager deleverages while it encounters slowing cashflow and overall revenue. If executed properly, the baseline is that APTT will provide 1.05 SG cents of dividend annually to shareholders.

This is my baseline scenario. In addition, I believe for its business model, a 8% dividend demanded is fair. Hence my target price for APTT is 13.1 Sg cents (25% upside for owning APTT).